Significance
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 1) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events
Connected Situation / Through 2026-09-19
Situation analysis pending
- stories
- 2
- events
- 4
- entities
- 29
- connections
- 2
Evidence so far on 2026-09-19 UTC · updated 2026-09-19 12:25 UTCSign in for the live Situation ↗
Narrative
Analysis unavailable
StatusThis edition’s complete evidence is retained, but its verified explanation did not publish.
MeaningNo current interpretation, actor role, relationship, or change is implied. The Evidence layer remains available.
Quantitative
Evidence in numbers
- Scope
A 3-day Situation represented by 4 coded Events carried across 2 member Stories.
- Coded activity
The coded activity is led by 01 · Make Public Statement (1) and 0312 · Military (1).
- Prominent subjects
🇺🇸United States and 🇮🇱Israel are prominent in the retained actor and relationship evidence.
- Entity coverage
29 canonical Entities are linked to this edition.
Metric coverage. 4 coded Events · 4 CAMEO+ · 0 conflict. The four dimensions describe the CAMEO+ subset; conflict Events do not carry these scores.
Magnitude3.5
min 2max 5
Systemic importance0.23
min 0.2max 0.3
Propagation potential0.34
min 0.28max 0.45
Market sensitivity0.14
min 0.05max 0.4
Dot = mean · shaded span = observed range · position uses each metric’s defined scale.
All 7 scores, distributions & definitions
How the coder scored the full retained Event set
4 coded events — 4 CAMEO+ (4 political)
- Significance · 40.32min 0.2max 0.41
- Magnitude · 43.5min 2max 5
- Systemic · 40.23min 0.2max 0.3
- Propagation · 40.34min 0.28max 0.45
- Market · 40.14min 0.05max 0.4
- Goldstein · 4-0.8min -5max 4
- Confidence · 40.62min 0.32max 0.93
Quad class over those 3 events · Verbal Conflict 2 · Verbal Cooperation 1. No conflict-family event here, so nothing carries a fatality count — a missing column, not a toll of zero.
Magnitude
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 10) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events — every one of them CAMEO+
Systemic
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 1) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events — every one of them CAMEO+
Propagation
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 1) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events — every one of them CAMEO+
Market
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 1) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events — every one of them CAMEO+
Goldstein
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (-10 to 10) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across the 4 of 4 events Goldstein is defined on — CAMEO+ POLITICAL and the conflict family; the other nine CAMEO+ domains have no Goldstein semantics
Confidence
4 measured / 4 eligible · 0 missing · 0 not applicable
score (0 to 1) · Event-level distribution, not a Situation risk score.
across all 4 events
This retained edition, independent of graph and page limits. Different dimensions, not a blended risk score; reported tolls may overlap.
Day by day3 reporting days · click a day to open or close it
2026-09-19from the recordslatest
Israel demands U.S. weapons access over Saudi F-35 sale
1 Story and 2 coded Events (0 / +1 against the day before). Widest coverage: Israel opposes proposed U.S. F-35 sale to Saudi Arabia (15 articles).
- 10
- Stories · vs day before
- 2+1
- Events · vs day before
- 15
- articles
The lay of the land
Situation timeline
All 3 daysarticlesstoriesevents
09-1709-1809-19
Loading Situation timeline…
What kind of event · 4 coded types
over 4 coded events on this edition
- Political4
- 01 · Make Public Statement1
- 0312 · Military1
- 1012 · Demand Military Cooperation1
- 111 · Criticize or Denounce1
Countries · where it happened
Countries · who is acting
How a Situation is put together2 Stories · 4 Events · 2 membership connections · 42 graph edges
A retained time step
This edition freezes the complete served membership and analysis available through its UTC cutoff. Later repairs or identity changes do not rewrite what this edition showed.
Stories, Events, and cast
Stories are reporting clusters. Events are coded occurrences within that reporting. The cast contains 29 canonical people and organizations linked to the retained evidence.
Typed connections
Story-to-Event edges identify supporting reporting. Entity-to-Event edges identify recorded actor or target participation. Mentions and analytical roles stay visibly distinct from recorded participation.
Core, precursor, and continuation labels organize the reading. They do not by themselves establish causation. Collapsed graph groups and paginated evidence change presentation only; counts use the complete retained edition.