PoliticalCoerce2026-09-23🇨🇳

Chinese government expels Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli

source: Chinese government -> target: Zhang Youxia -> target: Liu Zhenli

On 2026-09-23, the Chinese government reportedly expelled Zhang Youxia and Liu Zhenli from the Communist Party and the People's Liberation Army. The article presents the move as part of President Xi Jinping's military discipline campaign and says only two active Central Military Commission members remain, including Xi.

0.40Significance-5.0Goldstein scale7.0Magnitude0.1Systemic0.1Market2Articles

Metric Evidence

v2-2026-07-24Each score below is computed from the observables the coder read off this event, by a fixed published formula — not chosen by the model. Values and reasons are its own.
Magnitude7

conflict path: min(10, 2 + 2·log₁₀(deaths)), 0 deaths → 0 · other paths: anchored 0–10 tier

verbal tier7

The government reportedly expelled two senior generals from the Communist Party and People's Liberation Army, an imposed coercive action; the article does not specify a more precisely classifiable form of expulsion.

Systemic importance0.12· China's military leadership and party disciplinary structure

mean(size, interconnectedness, irreplaceability) — equal weights, BCBS G-SIB style

size0.15

The article describes changes to China's senior military leadership, but does not establish a wider binding institutional or international regime change.

interconnectedness0.1

No third-party commitments depending on this leadership structure are identified.

irreplaceability0.1

The report does not indicate that the affected institutional channel lacks alternatives.

Propagation potential0.32

mean(channel, coupling, breach, primed, 1 − containment) · 0 if channel ≤ 0.05

channel0.2

The reported action concerns national military leadership, but no concrete transmission channel to other systems is described.

coupling0.1

No deadline, operational dependency, or lack of alternatives is reported.

breach0.1

The article calls the expulsions dramatic and historic, but provides no clear evidence of a breached prior restraint.

primed0.2

The article describes an ongoing military leadership purge, indicating some existing institutional stress.

containment0

No active mediator, backstop, or other containment measure is reported.

Market sensitivity0.05

mean(claim_exposure, economic_bite) · 0 if claim_exposure ≤ 0.05

claim exposure0.1

The event is a domestic political and military leadership action; the article names no specific traded claim or market-wide supply change.

economic bite0

No action is reported against a named traded claim; the article provides no evidence of changed cash flows, output, assets, contracts, or financing.

Location
BeijingEast AsiaChinaAsia39.904, 116.407
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