PoliticalAppeal to settle dispute2026-09-20🇹🇷

Turkey sends US and Iran proposals to end war

source: Turkey -> target: United States -> target: Iran

On 2026-09-20, Turkey's foreign minister said Ankara had sent new proposals to the United States and Iran. The proposals sought to end the ongoing war, making this an appeal to settle the dispute. No agreement or mediation arrangement was reported.

0.29Significance3.0Goldstein scale2.0Magnitude0.3Systemic0.1Market1Articles

Metric Evidence

v2-2026-07-24Each score below is computed from the observables the coder read off this event, by a fixed published formula — not chosen by the model. Values and reasons are its own.
Magnitude2

conflict path: min(10, 2 + 2·log₁₀(deaths)), 0 deaths → 0 · other paths: anchored 0–10 tier

verbal tier2

Turkey sent proposals urging the parties to end the war, an appeal for settlement.

Systemic importance0.27· Turkey-US-Iran diplomatic channel

mean(size, interconnectedness, irreplaceability) — equal weights, BCBS G-SIB style

size0.25

The channel concerns a major regional war but is not described as an established binding institution.

interconnectedness0.35

The proposal directly involves three states in an active conflict with wider regional implications.

irreplaceability0.2

No evidence indicates that this is the sole available diplomatic channel.

Propagation potential0.51

mean(channel, coupling, breach, primed, 1 − containment) · 0 if channel ≤ 0.05

channel0.5

The proposals were transmitted directly to the United States and Iran through a diplomatic channel.

coupling0.35

The parties are engaged in an active war, but no deadline or binding mechanism is reported.

breach0.1

The article reports a new proposal, not a breach of an established restraint.

primed0.8

The proposal addresses an ongoing war, indicating a highly stressed regional setting.

containment0.2

The settlement proposal itself is a diplomatic damping effort, but no mediator or agreement is reported.

Market sensitivity0.05

mean(claim_exposure, economic_bite) · 0 if claim_exposure ≤ 0.05

claim exposure0.1

The article names countries but no specific traded claim or affected market.

economic bite0

Sending proposals is a diplomatic speech act with no immediate change to a claim.

Location
AnkaraMiddle EastTurkeyAsia39.933, 32.860
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