Commodity Supply Chain · Demo
Bauxite Supply-Chain Monitor
Global aluminum smelters source 75% of their bauxite from Guinea, Indonesia, and Australia. This monitor follows the political-risk, infrastructure, and trade events shaping those three regions — sized for a conglomerate Group Risk team. Other demos →
Last refreshed: 2026-10-15 19:27 UTC · auto-refreshed every 24h
Executive brief
Guinea + Indonesia + Australia · weekly · last 7 days
- Volume
60 structured events and 30 story clusters across GIN + IDN + AUS, 2026-10-09 → 2026-10-15. - Casualties
No fatal incidents recorded in the window — narrative dominated by political and infrastructure events, not direct kinetic exchanges. - Macro context
LME Aluminum Spot +7.4% over the window (now 2589.0 USD/tonne). Move is consistent with elevated risk premium.
Bottom line · Sourcing posture: GIN + IDN + AUS all currently shipping; no Cat-1 supply disruption signal in the window. Maintain standard diversification.
Three-country panel · sourcing risk
Guinea
GIN
0
events / window
CBG · SMB · top global bauxite producer
Avg Goldstein—· —
−10 conflict0+10 cooperative
CAMEO+ rubric scores · avg over window
Propagation—
Market sensitivity—
Systemic importance—
Articles
11
Avg Magnitude
—
Fatalities
0
Indonesia
IDN
60
events / window
PT Antam · refining build-out · export bans
Avg Goldstein3.0· Cooperative
−10 conflict0+10 cooperative
CAMEO+ rubric scores · avg over window
Propagation29%
Market sensitivity18%
Systemic importance17%
Articles
13
Avg Magnitude
2.8
Fatalities
0
Top actor · Pertamina
Top story · 3 articles
Pertamina ships extra Pertalite and diesel fuel to Bali aboard MT KalsogunAustralia
AUS
0
events / window
Rio Tinto Weipa · Alcoa · stable supply
Avg Goldstein—· —
−10 conflict0+10 cooperative
CAMEO+ rubric scores · avg over window
Propagation—
Market sensitivity—
Systemic importance—
Articles
17
Avg Magnitude
—
Fatalities
0
Top story · 5 articles
Escondida mine supervisors in Chile strike after contract talks failGeographic picture
Loading geographic view...
Legend · circles = events (size = magnitude, color = Goldstein severity) · diamonds = story clusters (size = article count) · click any marker for detail.
LME aluminum spot · 30-day trend
LME Aluminum Spot
2589.0 USD/tonne▲ +7.4%
2026-03-222026-05-20
Illustrative frozen macro snapshot. The former Alpha Vantage MCP proxy is retired; use native macro tools for supported FRED series.
What changed this week · structured events by sourcing country
Guinea
0 events
- No events this week.
Indonesia
60 events
- sig 0.48BattlesArmed clash2026-10-09 · IndonesiaIndonesian troops kill three OPM members in Maybrat clashIndonesian military (TNI) (Indonesia)→Free Papua Movement (OPM), Kodap IV/Sorong Raya (Indonesia)Goldstein-10.0
- sig 0.47POLITICALExhibit Force Posture2026-10-13 · IndonesiaKodaeral IV forms naval quick-response command in BatamKodaeral IV (Indonesia)Goldstein-7.2Mag7.0Propagation28%Mkt sens5%Systemic12%
- sig 0.46CORPORATEMerger or Acquisition2026-10-13 · IndonesiaSM+ signs agreement to acquire PDG's Indonesian data-center businessPT SMPlus Digital Investama (SM+) (Indonesia)→Princeton Digital Group (PDG) (Singapore)Mag4.0Propagation39%Mkt sens70%Systemic35%
- sig 0.41CORPORATEMerger or Acquisition2026-10-12 · IndonesiaEni signs binding agreements to sell Indonesian upstream stakesEni (Italy)→Pertamina (Indonesia)Mag3.0Propagation29%Mkt sens70%Systemic30%
- sig 0.41POLITICALCoerce2026-10-12 · IndonesiaIndonesia’s Judicial Commission and Supreme Court suspend judgeJudicial Commission of Indonesia (Indonesia)→MNH (Indonesia)Goldstein-5.0Mag7.0Propagation20%Mkt sens5%Systemic15%
Australia
0 events
- No events this week.
Top story clusters · article reach across all three countries
- Story2026-10-14· Chilesig 0.19Escondida mine supervisors in Chile strike after contract talks fail5 articles1 linked eventEconomic
- Story2026-10-13· Indonesiasig 0.15Pertamina ships extra Pertalite and diesel fuel to Bali aboard MT Kalsogun3 articles1 linked eventEconomicvia ekonomi.republika.co.id
- Story2026-10-13· Australiasig 0.15Jordan's King Abdullah meets Australian mining and exploration industry representatives3 articles1 linked eventPoliticalvia royanews.tv
- Story2026-10-09· Guineasig 0.12Guinea's MoDeL demands official clarification on Aliou Bah's whereabouts2 articles1 linked eventPoliticalvia guineematin.com
- Story2026-10-09· Indonesiasig 0.12Indonesia outlines Kalimantan development vision at Borneo Economic Forum2 articlesEconomicvia antaranews.com
- Story2026-10-14· Australiasig 0.12BHP cuts 300 jobs at iron ore mines in Western Australia's Pilbara2 articles1 linked eventEconomicvia abc.net.au
- Story2026-10-13· Mongoliasig 0.08Rio Tinto releases Q3 production results for Mongolia and Australia operations1 articles1 linked eventEconomicvia finanznachrichten.de
- Story2026-10-12· Guineasig 0.08Guinea exports first refined gold bars from Nimba Gold Refinery1 articlesEconomicvia riotimesonline.com
- Story2026-10-11· Guineasig 0.08Guinea announces first refined-gold export by Nimba Gold1 articlesEconomicvia beninwebtv.com
Illustrative web context · sample text, not sourced reporting
Illustrative sample· 2026-05-16
Guinea bauxite exports rebound after junta lifts restrictions
Bauxite shipments from Guinea recovered 18% month-over-month after the transitional government relaxed export controls imposed earlier this year...
Illustrative sample· 2026-05-11
Indonesia mining ministry signals new aluminum smelter incentives
Indonesia's Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources is preparing tax incentives for domestic aluminum smelters to capture more downstream value...
Illustrative sample· 2026-05-07
LME aluminum stocks at 18-month low; Hindalco signals capacity expansion
LME warehouses are holding aluminum at the lowest level since late 2024, with Hindalco Industries hinting at a 200kt annual capacity expansion at its Mahan smelter...
How this demo is built: three independent country queries to /api/v2/events + /api/v2/stories, merged in JSX. The LME aluminum overlay is a frozen illustrative snapshot, not a live MCP call. Standalone Python repo: github.com/gdelt-cloud/demos.